‘Time is money,’ this phrase, coined by the renowned Benjamin Franklin, is numerously iterated in the fast-paced world around us. Yet, ironically, we lose more than a day each year daydreaming on clogged roads. This figure is projected to soar, with the change from fuel to electron. It seems that, on the surface, humanity feels a sense of pride in saving turtles by not using Internal Combustion Engines (ICEs).
On average, waiting in traffic jams for 31 long hours costs around £1,168 per driver, and that is excluding the costs of the impact stationary vehicles have on the environment. In total, the transportation sector derives 81% of all its energy from liquid gold- that is, oil. This not only makes oil the most dominant fuel, and a highly sought-after commodity, but holds it accountable for 26% of total carbon dioxide emissions globally.[1] A UN report in 2018 on global warming stated that “air pollution causes an estimated 40,000 early deaths in the United Kingdom every year.”
Aside from the socio-environmental problems, rush hour traffic takes a large toll on the commuter’s mental health. Constant noise, speeding, and road rage, has unsurprisingly resulted in high levels of stress. Cognitively, psychologically, physically, and socially, stress gets the better of us, and statistically speaking, we are thus more prone to hurting ourselves or other road users. The outcome of this? Road traffic accidents; a classic example of cause (socio-environmental problems) and effect (mental health from these problems that results in these very accidents). In fact, the Department of Transport UK reported 25,945 serious road injuries in 2019 alone.
So, what is the simple solution? Public transport would be a good starting point. There are many various methods of public transport that could be utilised by the average Joe Bloggs, but it would require a fair amount of organisation on TFL’s part, should everyone turn to public transport as an alternative.
The general consensus seems to be that the ideal way out would be applying the features of public transport (minus the extra walking, countless hours’ worth of delays, and a dozen changes during a single trip) combined with the mental contentment and comfort of personal cars.
Is this even a possibility?
Well, fully autonomous vehicles (AVs) are the only feasible, and somewhat plausible, answer right now. Since the mid-2010s engineers have been involved in developing and adapting to this new technology. In a nutshell, it is essentially self-driving cars, with no one at the wheel.
The Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE) has classified automated driving features into 6 levels, from no automation (L0) to full automation (L5). In the first three levels, the driver is driving with some support features for steering and accelerating/braking e.g., blind-spot warning, lane centring and adaptive cruise control. The other three levels mean that the driver is not driving, even if seated in the driver’s seat, because of features like traffic jam chauffeur. Some cars may not even have the pedals and steering wheel installed in them.
The majority argues that they will be a complete disaster. Arguments include “they won’t work, because they’ll get hacked” or ‘they won’t work until cars are as smart as humans.” Are these arguments presenting the whole truth?
The Centre for Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CCAV) UK has had public and private investments of £440 million. Thankfully it has not gone to waste. The UK is overall leading in enabling regulations and infrastructure as well as market attractiveness. Companies such as AutoAir, UKCITE, A2/M2 Connected Corridor and ConVEx have been working to develop modern infrastructure, which can easily accommodate future technologies. They also ensure that the data collected by the AVs are being processed efficiently and effectively.
The famous German car manufacturer, Audi, has conducted a research project, ‘25th Hour – Flow’. This research simulated the future of mobility in Ingolstadt, in order to find out what happens when automated transport becomes more widespread. The project concluded that travel times will reduce at a high rate, even though road users will increase by 10%. This reduction in travel time will increase the fuel economy, saving consumers £5 billion per annum.
Even though it is very early days for AVs, the potential overall impact on the UK’s economy by 2030 is estimated to produce more than 420,000 jobs. This industry could be worth £62 billion as “1 in every 5 miles travelled by consumers in the UK could be automated.” Moreover, 47,000 serious accidents can be prevented saving over 3,900 lives because human error will be eliminated.
Ultimately, and akin to human development, every new creation needs a few decades to come out of the cradle, to grow, to experience highs and lows, and to ultimately succeed. In less than 100 years, AVs could be the norm. As technological advances continue to grace the international market, manual cars are slowly becoming part of recent history. From automatic cars, it only seems right that the natural progression should lead us to automated vehicles.
[1] Chapman, (2007) “Transport and climate change: a review”, Journal of Transport Geography 15, pp. 2
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